台湾东北部海域海表温度季节与年际异常及其对历史气候重建的启示

赵松; 常凤鸣; 李铁刚; 庄丽华; 熊志方; 徐烨

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2018.908

台湾东北部海域海表温度季节与年际异常及其对历史气候重建的启示

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2018.908

赵松^1,3,,
常凤鸣^1,2, ,,
李铁刚^2,4,
庄丽华^1,2,
熊志方^1,2,
徐烨^1,3

1.
中国科学院海洋研究所海洋地质与环境重点实验室, 山东青岛 266071
2.
青岛海洋科学与技术国家实验室, 海洋地质过程与环境功能实验室, 山东青岛 266061
3.
中国科学院大学地球科学学院, 北京 100049
4.
国家海洋局第一海洋研究所海洋沉积与环境地质国家海洋局重点实验室, 山东青岛 266061

基金项目:

"中国科学院战略性先导科技"专项课题 XDA10010305

"全球变化与海气相互作用"专项项目 GGASI-GEOGE-06-02

"全球变化与海气相互作用"专项项目 GASI-GEOGE-04

国家自然科学基金项目 41476041

国家自然科学基金项目 41230959

详细信息

作者简介:
赵松(1992-), 男, 硕士研究生, 主要研究方向为古海洋与古环境

通讯作者:
常凤鸣

中图分类号: P736
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- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2017-11-20
- 刊出日期: 2018-03-15

Seasonal and Inter-Annual Anomalies of Sea Surface Temperature Offshore Northeastern Taiwan and Its Implication to Historical Climate Reconstructions

Zhao Song^{1,3
,},
Chang Fengming^{1,2
, ,},
Li Tiegang^2,4,
Zhuang Lihua^1,2,
Xiong Zhifang^1,2,
Xu Ye^1,3

1.
Key Laboratory of Marine Geology and Environment, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China
2.
Laboratory for Marine Geology, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266061, China
3.
College of Earth Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
4.
Key Laboratory of Marine Sedimentology and Environmental Geology, First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China

摘要

摘要: SST（海洋表层温度，sea surface temperature）的季节与年际异常对于认识现代全球变暖、重建历史时期气候变化以及探讨气候变化机制具有重要意义，而台湾东北部海域SST季节与年际异常的研究却相对较少.为更好地理解现代全球变暖和历史气候变化，利用NOAA的全球海表温度最优插值资料、Hadley中心的全球海表温度数据以及MEI逐月指数，分析了现代全球变暖背景下台湾东北部海域SST季节与年际异常及其控制因素.季节尺度上，受东亚冬季风的影响，研究海区的冬季SST变化比夏季更为剧烈，冬季SST控制着该海域年均SST和SST季节性的变化.现代器测和古气候记录表明该现象在年际-百年尺度上可能一直存在.年际尺度上，SST异常与MEI指数存在显著的8个月滞后相关性，ENSO（厄尔尼诺—南方涛动，El Niño-Southern Oscillation）事件通过东亚冬季风来影响研究海域的SST变化.在历史气候重建中区分气候变化的多尺度性和替代指标的季节性、认识历史气候对ENSO及东亚冬季风的响应特征和机制，这将有助于进一步理解现代全球气候变暖的原因.
- 海洋表层温度 /
- 台湾东北部海域 /
- 海洋地质 /
- 东亚冬季风 /
- 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动
Abstract: Seasonal and inter-annual anomalies of sea surface temperature (SST) are very important for recognizing modern global warming, reconstructing historical climate changes and discussing mechanisms of climate changes. However, the related researches of SST offshore northeastern Taiwan are not enough. Based on NOAA's monthly SST data, monthly SST data from Hadley Center and monthly Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), the seasonal and inter-annual anomalies of SST and their influencing factors offshore northeastern Taiwan under the background of modern global warming are analyzed in order to further understand modern global warming and historical climate changes. On seasonal timescales, winter SST always displays greater variation range than summer SST, and its influence on the annual mean SST and SST seasonality is more serious, which could be contributed to the effects of East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM). Modern instrumental data and paleoclimate records show that greater variabilities of winter SST than summer SST possibly also exist on the inter-annual-centennial timescales. On inter-annual timescales, the SST anomalies offshore northeastern Taiwan exhibit a good lag correlation to MEI Index indicating the significant effect of ENSO on SST anomalies through the robust role of EAWM. It is crucial to distinguish the different multi-scales of climate change and seasonal explanations of temperature proxies when reconstructing the past temperature variation. And, insight to the responses of historical climate to ENSO and EAWM would be helpful to further understand the cause of modern global warming.
- sea surface temperature /
- offshore northeastern Taiwan /
- marine geology /
- East Asian Winter Monsoon /
- ENSO

HTML全文

图 1 西北太平洋2010年1月(a)和7月(b)海面表层温度

黑色方框：台湾东北部海域；黑色五角星：宜兰县气象站

Fig. 1. Sea surface temperature (SST) of northwestern Pacific in January 2010 (a) and July 2010(b)

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图 2 台湾东北部海域年均SST(上)和台湾宜兰年均气温变化(下)

Fig. 2. Annual mean SST offshore northeastern Taiwan (up) and annual mean air temperature in Yilan County, Taiwan (down)

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图 3 台湾东北部海域7月SST(上)、年平均SST(中)、1月SST(下)以及SST季节性变化(红线)

Fig. 3. July (up), annual mean (middle), January (down) SST variation and SST seasonality (red line) offshore northeastern Taiwan

a.NOAA_OI_SST_V2;b.HadISST1

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图 4 台湾东北部海域年平均SST与1月份SST(a)、7月份SST(b)的线性回归，以及SST季节性与年平均SST(c)、1月份SST(d)、7月份SST(e)的线性回归

Fig. 4. The linear regressions of annual mean SST versus January SST (a), annual mean SST versus July SST (b), SST seasonality versus annual mean SST (c), SST seasonality versus January SST (d), SST seasonality versus July SST (e) offshore northeastern Taiwan

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图 5 1950—2010年台湾宜兰逐月气温距平百分率(上，黑线为11个月移动平均曲线)、台湾东北部海域逐月SST异常(中，黑线为11个月移动平均曲线)以及MEI逐月指数(下，黑线为11个月移动平均曲线)

(深)浅红色阴影：(超强)厄尔尼诺事件；(深)浅蓝色阴影：(超强)拉尼娜事件

Fig. 5. Percentage of monthly air-temperature anomalies in Yilan County, Taiwan (up, black bold line denotes 11-months moving averages), monthly SST anomalies offshore northeastern Taiwan (middle, black bold line denotes 11-months moving averages), and monthly MEI index(down, black bold line denotes 11-months moving averages) in 1950—2010

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图 6 (a) MEI与台湾东北部海域SST异常(11个月移动平均处理后)滞后相关性(粗线代表大于99%置信水平); (b)MEI指数(11个月移动平均处理后，红线)和台湾东北部海域SST异常(11个月移动平均处理后，蓝线)的频谱分析

Fig. 6. (a) Lagged correlation between MEI index and SST anomalies offshore northeastern Taiwan (thick curve indicates the > 99% confidence level; 11-month moving averages has been applied); (b) Spectral analysis of MEI index(red, after 11-month moving averages) and SST anomalies (blue, after 11-month moving averages)

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图 7 1950—2010年MEI指数(a)、滞后8个月的MEI指数(b)与太平洋SST异常相关图

灰色部分指示未通过95%置信度检验

Fig. 7. Spatial correlation coefficients between MEI index and Pacific SST anomalies (a), 8-months lagged MEI index and Pacific SST anomalies (b) for the period 1950—2010

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