• 中国出版政府奖提名奖

    中国百强科技报刊

    湖北出版政府奖

    中国高校百佳科技期刊

    中国最美期刊

    留言板

    尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

    姓名
    邮箱
    手机号码
    标题
    留言内容
    验证码

    气温、降水量和人类活动对长江流域植被NDVI的影响

    崔利芳 王伦澈 屈赛 邓利欢 王兆夺

    崔利芳, 王伦澈, 屈赛, 邓利欢, 王兆夺, 2020. 气温、降水量和人类活动对长江流域植被NDVI的影响. 地球科学, 45(6): 1905-1917. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2019.171
    引用本文: 崔利芳, 王伦澈, 屈赛, 邓利欢, 王兆夺, 2020. 气温、降水量和人类活动对长江流域植被NDVI的影响. 地球科学, 45(6): 1905-1917. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2019.171
    Cui Lifang, Wang Lunche, Qu Sai, Deng Lihuan, Wang Zhaoduo, 2020. Impacts of Temperature, Precipitation and Human Activity on Vegetation NDVI in Yangtze River Basin, China. Earth Science, 45(6): 1905-1917. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2019.171
    Citation: Cui Lifang, Wang Lunche, Qu Sai, Deng Lihuan, Wang Zhaoduo, 2020. Impacts of Temperature, Precipitation and Human Activity on Vegetation NDVI in Yangtze River Basin, China. Earth Science, 45(6): 1905-1917. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2019.171

    气温、降水量和人类活动对长江流域植被NDVI的影响

    doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2019.171
    基金项目: 

    国家自然科学基金项目 41601044

    黄冈师范学院博士基金项目 204201832603

    高级别培育项目 204201911503

    详细信息
      作者简介:

      崔利芳(1986-), 女, 讲师, 主要从事气候变化与资源环境遥感研究

      通讯作者:

      王伦澈

    • 中图分类号: P951

    Impacts of Temperature, Precipitation and Human Activity on Vegetation NDVI in Yangtze River Basin, China

    • 摘要: 为了了解气温、降水量和人类活动对流域植被NDVI(normalized difference vegetation index)的影响,以长江流域为研究区,运用一元线性回归分析法和Theil-Sen Median趋势分析法研究了长江流域气温、降水量和植被NDVI变化特征,同时利用相关分析法和残差分析法探讨气温、降水量和人类活动对植被NDVI变化的影响.结果表明:1960—2015年长江流域年平均温度显著上升,而降水量的变化趋势并不显著;1982—2015年流域NDVI呈显著增加趋势;1982—2015年流域NDVI与气温的相关性较高,然而与降水量的相关性并不显著;人类活动使流域NDVI增加的区域主要分布于流域北部、东南和西南部分地区,而使NDVI下降的区域位于流域中西部区域和长三角地区.气温对长江流域植被NDVI变化的影响大于降水,气候变暖和人类活动对流域生态环境具有一定程度的影响.

       

    • 图  1  长江流域的地理位置和植被覆盖类型

      Fig.  1.  Location of the Yangtze River basin (YRB) and vegetation cover type

      图  2  1960—2015年长江流域年、季平均气温的变化

      Fig.  2.  The annual and seasonal temperature variation in the YRB during 1960—2015

      图  3  1960—2015年长江流域年平均气温(a)和年降水量(b)变化趋势的空间分布

      Fig.  3.  Spatial distribution of annual mean temperature (a) and precipitation (b) trend during 1960—2015 in the YRB

      图  4  1960—2015年长江流域年、季平均降水量的变化

      Fig.  4.  The annual and seasonal precipitation variation in the YRB during 1960—2015

      图  5  1960—2015年长江流域年、季平均NDVI的变化

      Fig.  5.  The annual and seasonal NDVI variation in the YRB during 1960—2015

      图  6  1982—2015年长江流域年平均NDVI变化趋势(a)及其显著性(b)的空间分布

      Fig.  6.  Spatial distribution of annual mean NDVI variation (a) and its significant test (b) in the YRB during 1982—2015

      图  7  1982—2015年长江流域春季、夏季、秋季和冬季平均NDVI变化趋势(a,c,e,g)及其显著性(b,d,f,h)的空间分布

      Fig.  7.  Spatial distribution of NDVI variation trend in spring, summer autumn and winter (a, c, e, g) and its significant test (b, d, f, h) in the YRB during 1982—2015

      图  8  1982—2015年长江流域年平均NDVI与气温(a)、降水量(b)相关系数的空间分布

      Fig.  8.  Spatial distribution of correlation coefficients between annual mean NDVI and temperature (a) and precipitation (b) during 1982—2015

      图  9  NDVI残差变化趋势(a)及其显著性(b)的空间分布

      Fig.  9.  The spatial pattern of trends (a) and significance (b) in the NDVI residuals

      图  10  1995—2010年长江流域人口密度(a)及其变化(b)

      Fig.  10.  Spatial distribution of the average population density (a) and the changes (b) of population density in YRB from 1995 to 2010

      表  1  长江流域气温变化的显著性

      Table  1.   Significance of temperature variation in the YRB

      均值(℃) Z统计量 变化趋势
      14.3 4.98 显著上升
      14.3 3.36 显著上升
      23.7 1.26 上升
      15.1 3.58 显著上升
      4.2 3.12 显著上升
      下载: 导出CSV

      表  2  长江流域降水量变化的显著性

      Table  2.   Significance of precipitation variation in the YRB

      均值(mm) Z统计量 变化趋势
      1 081.8 -0.98 下降
      324.6 -0.11 下降
      497.8 1.90 增加
      230.0 -1.53 下降
      125.1 -1.46 下降
      下载: 导出CSV

      表  3  长江流域NDVI变化的显著性

      Table  3.   Significance of NDVI variation in the YRB

      均值 Z统计量 变化趋势
      0.54 3.17 显著增加
      0.50 4.12 显著增加
      0.67 0.47 增加
      0.56 2.70 显著增加
      0.44 1.25 增加
      下载: 导出CSV

      表  4  1982—2015年长江流域年平均NDVI与气温、降水的相关系数

      Table  4.   The correlation coefficient between annual mean NDVI and temperature (precipitation) in the YRB during 1982—2015

      时间 NDVI
      气温 0.49***
      0.65***
      0.43***
      0.38**
      0.50***
      降水量 -0.23
      -0.26
      -0.13
      -0.15
      -0.11
      注:*、**和***分别表示0.1、0.05和0.01显著性水平.
      下载: 导出CSV

      表  5  2001—2013年长江流域主要土地利用类型的相互转换(102 km2)

      Table  5.   The conversion of land use during 2001—2013

      土地利用类型 草地 城镇用地 灌丛 林地 农田
      草地 3 137.42 5.97 271.02 352.44 307.65
      城镇用地 15.18 76.37 122.14 107.72 187.74
      灌丛 313.43 12.58 1 593.83 2 263.58 777.31
      林地 89.91 1.18 242.21 3 638.01 103.78
      农田 52.72 29.84 515.31 268.67 2 184.93
      变化量 -465.84 -383.21 -2 216.22 2 555.33 509.94
      下载: 导出CSV
    • Bao, G., Qin, Z., Bao, Y., et al., 2014.NDVI-Based Long-Term Vegetation Dynamics and Its Response to Climatic Change in the Mongolian Plateau.Remote Sensing, 6(9):8337-8358. http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=MDPI000000125129
      Chen, C., Park, T., Wang, X.H., et al., 2019.China and India Lead in Greening of the World through Land-Use Management.Nature Sustainability, 2:122-129.
      Eastman, J.R., Sangermano, F., Machado, E.A., et al., 2013.Global Trends in Seasonality of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), 1982-2011.Remote Sensing, 5(10):4799-4818. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5104799
      Evans, J., Geerken, R., 2004.Discrimination between Climate and Human-Induced Dryland Degradation. Journal of Arid Environments, 57(4):535-554. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-1963(03)00121-6
      Forkel, M., Carvalhais, N., Rödenbeck, C., et al., 2016.Enhanced Seasonal CO2 Exchange Caused by Amplified Plant Productivity in Northern Ecosystems.Science, 6274:696-699. http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=72fd71510b88220d5029a819f82fb137
      Gesest, K.V.D., Vrieling, A., Dietz, T., 2010.Migration and Environment in Ghana:A Cross-District Analysis of Human Mobility and Vegetation Dynamics.Environment & Urbanization, 22(1):107-124.
      Gillespie, T.W., Ostermann-Kelm, S., Dong, C.Y., et al., 2018.Monitoring Changes of NDVI in Protected Areas of Southern California.Ecological Indicators, 88:485-494. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.01.031
      Hou, W.J., Gao, J.B., Wu, S.H., et al., 2015.Interannual Variations in Growing-Season NDVI and Its Correlation with Climate Variables in the Southwestern Karst Region of China.Remote Sensing, 7(9):11105-11124. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70911105
      Ichii, K., Kawabata, A., Yamaguchi, Y., 2002.Global Correlation Analysis for NDVI and Climatic Variables and NDVI Trends:1982-1990.International Journal of Remote Sensing, 23(18):3873-3878.
      Jiang, L.L., Jiapaer, G., Bao, A.M., et al., 2017.Vegetation Dynamics and Responses to Climate Change and Human Activities in Central Asia.Science of the Total Environment, 599-600:967-980. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.05.012
      Li, H.X., Liu, G.H., Fu, B.J., 2011.Response of Vegetation to Climate Change and Human Activity Based on NDVI in the Three-River Headwaters Region.Acta Ecologica Sinica, 31(19):5495-5504 (in Chinese with English abstract). http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=stxb201119011
      Li, S.S., Yang, S.N., Liu, X.F., et al., 2015a.NDVI-Based Analysis on the Influence of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Restoration in the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region, Central China.Remote Sensing, 7(9):11163-11182. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70911163
      Li, Z., Chen, Y.N., Li, W.H., et al., 2015b.Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation Dynamics in Central Asia.Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres, 120(24):2045-2057.
      Liu, J.Y., Zhang, Z.X., Xu, X.L., et al., 2010.Spatial Patterns and Driving Forces of Land Use Change in China during the Early 21st Century.Journal of Geographical Sciences, 20(4):483-494. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-010-0483-4
      Mao, J.F., Ribes, A., Yan, B.Y., et al., 2016.Human-Induced Greening of the Northern Extratropical Land Surface.Nature Climate Change, 6(10):959-963. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3056
      Mu, S.J., Li, J.L., Chen, Y.Z., et al., 2012.Spatial Differences of Variations of Vegetation Coverage in Inner Mongolia during 2001-2010.Acta Geographica Sinica, 67(9):1255-1268(in Chinese with English abstract). http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=dlxb201209010
      Olsson, L., Eklundh, L., Ardoe, J., 2005.A Recent Greening of the Sahel:Trends, Patterns and Potential Causes.Journal of Arid Environments, 63(3):556-566. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.03.008
      Piao, S.L., Fang, J.Y., 2001.Dynamic Vegetation Cover Change over the Last 18 Years in China.Quaternary Sciences, 21(4):294-302 (in Chinese with English abstract).
      Piao, S.L., Mohammat, A., Fang, J.Y., et al., 2006.NDVI-Based Increase in Growth of Temperate Grasslands and Its Responses to Climate Changes in China.Global Environmental Change, 16(4):340-348. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.002
      Piao, S.L., Yin, G.D., Tan, J.G., et al., 2015.Detection and Attribution of Vegetation Greening Trend in China over the Last 30 Years.Global Change Biology, 21(4):1601-1609. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12795
      Potter, C., Klooster, S., Genovese, V., 2012.Net Primary Production of Terrestrial Ecosystems from 2000 to 2009.Climatic Change, 115(2):365-378. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0460-2
      Qian, L.L., He, Z.H., Liang, H., et al., 2019.Spatial-Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Agricultural Drought Based on Precipitation Z Index in Guizhou.Journal of Guizhou Normal University (Natural Sciences), 37(1):10-14(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/gzsfdxxb-zr201901003
      Qin, D.H., 2014.Climate Change Science and Sustainable Development.Progress in Geography, 33(7):874-883(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dlkxjz201407002
      Qu, S., Wang, L.C., Lin, A.W., et al., 2018.What Drives the Vegetation Restoration in Yangtze River Basin, China:Climate Change or Anthropogenic Factors?Ecological Indicator, 90:438-450. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/tryhj201001005
      Richardson, A.D., Black, T.A., Ciais, P., et al., 2010.Influence of Spring and Autumn Phenological Transitions on Forest Ecosystem Productivity.Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B:Biological Sciences, 365:3227-3246. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0102
      Shao, J.A., Zhang, S.C., Li, X.B., 2015.The Role of Rural Farmland Transfer in Preventing Farmland Abandonment in the Mountainous Areas.Acta Geographica Sinica, 70(4):636-649 (in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dlxb201504012
      Song, X.P., Hansen, M.C., Stehman, S.V., et al., 2018.Global Land Change from 1982 to 2016.Nature, 560:639-643. http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=a2714be619d78f480f9736db0d8328b0
      Tian, F., Brandt, M., Liu, Y.Y., et al., 2016.Remote Sensing of Vegetation Dynamics in Drylands:Evaluating Vegetation Optical Depth (VOD) Using AVHRR NDVI and in Situ Green Biomass Data over West African Sahel.Remote Sensing of Environment, 177:265-276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2016.02.056
      Tian, Q., 2016.Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activity on the Water and Sediment Flux of the Yellow, Yangtze and Pearl River Basins over the Past 60 Years(Dissertation).East China Normal University, Shanghai (in Chinese with English abstract).
      Wang, J., Wang, K.L., Zhang, M.Y., et al., 2015.Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Cover in Hilly Southern China.Ecological Engineering, 81:451-461. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2015.04.022
      Wang, P.H., Zhang, T., Yu, X.L., 2019.Change Characteristics and Periodic Evolution of Rainfall Erosion of Guilin in Recent 65 Years.Journal of Guizhou Normal University (Natural Sciences), 37(2):23-28(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/gzsfdxxb-zr201902004
      Wang, Q., Zhang, M.J., Wang, S.J., et al., 2014.Changes in Temperature Extremes in the Yangtze River Basin, 1962-2011.Journal of Geographical Sciences, 24(1):59-75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-014-1073-7
      Wen, Z.F., Wu, S.J., Chen, J.L., et al., 2017.NDVI Indicated Long-Term Interannual Changes in Vegetation Activities and Their Responses to Climatic and Anthropogenic Factors in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region, China.Science of the Total Environment, 574:947-959. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.09.049
      Xiang, F.F., Wang, L.C., Yao, R., 2018.The Characteristics of Climate Change and Response of Vegetation in Three Gorges Reservoir Area.Earth Science, 43(Suppl.1):42-52(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dqkx2018z1005
      Xie, B.N., Jia, X.X., Qin, Z.F., et al., 2016.Vegetation Dynamics and Climate Change on the Loess Plateau, China:1982-2011.Regional Environmental Change, 16(6):1583-1594. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0881-3
      Yi, L., Ren, Z.Y., Zhang, C., 2014.Vegetation Cover, Climate and Human Activities on the Loess Plateau.Resources Science, 36(1):166-174(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/zykx201401019
      Zhang, Q., Qi, T.Y., Li, J.F., et al., 2015.Spatiotemporal Variations of Pan Evaporation in China during 1960-2005:Changing Patterns and Causes.International Journal of Climatology, 35(6):903-912. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4025
      Zhang, Y., Zhang, C.B., Wang, Z.Q., et al., 2016.Vegetation Dynamics and Its Driving Forces from Climate Change and Human Activities in the Three-River Source Region, China from 1982 to 2012.The Science of the Total Environment, 563-564:210-220. http://www.wanfangdata.com.cn/details/detail.do?_type=perio&id=ea74f67bbbf9b4fb9bf986734e83701e
      Zhang, Y.L., Song, C.H., Band, L.E., et al., 2017.Reanalysis of Global Terrestrial Vegetation Trends from MODIS Products:Browning or Greening?Remote Sensing of Environment, 191:145-155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2016.12.018
      Zhao, S., Chang, F.M., Li, T.G., 2018.Seasonal and Inter-Annual Anomalies Sea Surface Temperature Offshore Northeastern Taiwan Its Implication Climate Reconstructions.Earth Science, 43(3):851-861(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dqkx201803014
      Zhao, W., Hu, Z.M., Guo, Q., et al., 2020.Contributions of Climatic Factors to Interannual Variability of the Vegetation Index in Northern China Grasslands.Journal of Climate, 33(1):175-183.
      Zheng, F.F., Chen, Y.F., Wang, Y.L., et al., 2018.Influence of Seasonal Temperature Variation and pH Disparity on bGDGTs Thermometers in Soils.Earth Science, 43(Suppl.1):71-83(in Chinese with English abstract). http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dqkx2018z1008
      Zhou, Y., Zhang, L., Fensholt, R., et al., 2015.Climate Contributions to Vegetation Variations in Central Asian Drylands:Pre-and Post-USSR Collapse.Remote Sensing, 7(3):2449-2470. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70302449
      李辉霞, 刘国华, 傅伯杰, 2011.基于NDVI的三江源地区植被生长对气候变化和人类活动的响应研究.生态学报, 31(19):5495-5504. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/stxb201119011
      穆少杰, 李建龙, 陈奕兆, 等, 2012.2001-2010年内蒙古植被覆盖度时空变化特征.地理学报, 67(9):1255-1268. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dlxb201209010
      朴世龙, 方精云, 2001.最近18年中国植被覆盖的动态变化.第四纪研究, 21(4):294-302. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dsjyj200104002
      钱莉莉, 贺中华, 梁虹, 等, 2019.基于降水Z指数的贵州省农业干旱时空演化特征.贵州师范大学学报(自然科学版), 37(1):10-14. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/gzsfdxxb-zr201901003
      秦大河, 2014.气候变化科学与人类可持续发展.地理科学进展, 33(7):874-883. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dlkxjz201407002
      邵景安, 张仕超, 李秀彬, 2015.山区土地流转对缓解耕地撂荒的作用.地理学报, 70(4):636-649. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/dlxb201504012
      田清, 2016.近60年来气候变化和人类活动对黄河、长江、珠江水沙通量影响的研究(博士论文).上海: 华东师范大学大学.
      王朋辉, 张陶, 于小磊, 2019.近65年桂林市降雨侵蚀力变化特征与周期演化.贵州师范大学学报(自然科学版), 37(2):23-28. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/gzsfdxxb-zr201902004
      向菲菲, 王伦澈, 姚瑞, 等, 2018.三峡库区气候变化特征及其植被响应.地球科学, 43(增刊1):42-52. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2018.912
      易浪, 任志远, 张翀, 2014.黄土高原植被覆盖变化与气候和人类活动的关系.资源科学, 36(1):166-174. http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/zykx201401019
      赵松, 常凤鸣, 李铁刚, 等, 2018.台湾东北部海域海表温度季节与年际异常及其对历史气候重建的启示.地球科学, 43(3):851-861. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2018.908
      郑峰峰, 陈雨霏, 王永莉, 等, 2018.季节温度变化及土壤pH差异对土壤bGDGTs温度指标的影响.地球科学, 43(增刊1):71-83. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2018.950
    • 加载中
    图(10) / 表(5)
    计量
    • 文章访问数:  2301
    • HTML全文浏览量:  1705
    • PDF下载量:  166
    • 被引次数: 0
    出版历程
    • 收稿日期:  2019-04-26
    • 刊出日期:  2020-06-15

    目录

      /

      返回文章
      返回