山火后首次泥石流预警

易伟; 余斌; 胡卸文; 胡建春; 刘烽焰; 王严

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

Volume 49 Issue 10

Oct. 2024

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Article Navigation > Earth Science > 2024 > 49(10): 3826-3840

Yi Wei, Yu Bin, Hu Xiewen, Hu Jianchun, Liu Fengyan, Wang Yan, 2024. On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire. Earth Science, 49(10): 3826-3840. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

Citation:

Yi Wei, Yu Bin, Hu Xiewen, Hu Jianchun, Liu Fengyan, Wang Yan, 2024. On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire. Earth Science, 49(10): 3826-3840. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

Yi Wei, Yu Bin, Hu Xiewen, Hu Jianchun, Liu Fengyan, Wang Yan, 2024. On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire. Earth Science, 49(10): 3826-3840. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

Citation:

Yi Wei, Yu Bin, Hu Xiewen, Hu Jianchun, Liu Fengyan, Wang Yan, 2024. On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire. Earth Science, 49(10): 3826-3840. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

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On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.145

Yi Wei^{1, 2
,},
Yu Bin^{1
,
,},
Hu Xiewen³,
Hu Jianchun²,
Liu Fengyan⁴,
Wang Yan³

1.
State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
2.
School of Tourism and Urban Planning, Xichang University, Xichang 615000, China
3.
Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China
4.
Chengdu Geological Survey Institute, Sichuan Metallurgical and Geological Exploration Bureau, Chengdu 610059, China

Received Date: 2022-12-30
Available Online: 2024-11-08
Publish Date: 2024-10-25

Abstract

Abstract

Postfire debris flows are hazards that can easily occur and are highly destructive, making them an important target for hazard prevention and mitigation in mountainous areas. Postfire debris flow prediction models developed by researchers outside China offer good prediction results only for regions corresponding to the databases used but poor prediction results for other regions. A forest fire can significantly increase the water repellency of the soil under the forest, and when rainfall occurs, flash floods with high flows form very easily and trigger debris flows. In the first rainy season after a wildfire, the rainfall threshold for debris flow occurrence is very low and the probability of debris flow occurrence is very high. Using wildfires in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province, China, a concept of equivalent antecedent rainfall (EAR) was introduced, and an EAR calculation model was established through artificial rainfall experiments. An early warning model for the first postfire gully-type debris flow was established using the general quation. The reliability of the method was verified using initial postfire debris flow events in Sichuan, China, and in the United States. The early warning model for first postfire debris flow in this study is a new method for hazard mitigation and the prevention of postfire debris flows.
- postfire debris flow,
- early warning model,
- equivalent antecedent,
- rainfall,
- gully type,
- engineering geology

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References(48)

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On Early Warning of First Debris Flow after a Wildfire

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