全球变暖背景下海洋浮游生物群落长期变化

张武昌; 赵苑; 刘红斌; 孙军

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

Volume 50 Issue 11

Nov. 2025

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Article Navigation > Earth Science > 2025 > 50(11): 4551-4570

Zhang Wuchang, Zhao Yuan, Liu Hongbin, Sun Jun, 2025. Long-Term Changes in Plankton Communities in Context of Global Warming. Earth Science, 50(11): 4551-4570. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

Citation:

Zhang Wuchang, Zhao Yuan, Liu Hongbin, Sun Jun, 2025. Long-Term Changes in Plankton Communities in Context of Global Warming. Earth Science, 50(11): 4551-4570. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

Zhang Wuchang, Zhao Yuan, Liu Hongbin, Sun Jun, 2025. Long-Term Changes in Plankton Communities in Context of Global Warming. Earth Science, 50(11): 4551-4570. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

Citation:

Zhang Wuchang, Zhao Yuan, Liu Hongbin, Sun Jun, 2025. Long-Term Changes in Plankton Communities in Context of Global Warming. Earth Science, 50(11): 4551-4570. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

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Long-Term Changes in Plankton Communities in Context of Global Warming

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.163

Zhang Wuchang^{1, 2, 3
,
,},
Zhao Yuan^{1, 2, 3
,
,
,},
Liu Hongbin^{4, 6},
Sun Jun⁵

1.
Laboratory of Marine Ecology and Environmental Sciences, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266000, China
2.
Laboratory for Marine Ecology and Environmental Science, Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center, Qingdao 266237, China
3.
Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266000, China
4.
Department of Ocean Science, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hongkong 999077, China
5.
State Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430078, China
6.
CAS-HKUST Sanya Joint Laboratory of Marine Science Research, Sanya 572000, China

Received Date: 2025-03-14
Publish Date: 2025-11-25

Abstract

Abstract

Plankton form the foundation of marine ecosystems, and changes in their community structure and phenology affect ecosystem function and biogeographical patterns. Global warming drives sea surface temperature increases, resulting in poleward shifts of plankton distribution, with the leading edge advancing more noticeably while the core and trailing edge remain relatively stable. Warming also causes phenological shifts in some species, such as earlier spring events and delayed autumn events. The extent of distribution and phenological changes varies among plankton groups, mainly affecting community structure at the margins, while no significant changes have been observed in the dominant species of community cores. If future ocean circulation patterns remain stable, the risk of major shifts in plankton community cores from the tropics to subarctic regions is low, and dominant species in polar communities are also unlikely to change substantially in the next century. Long-term systematic observation in Chinese seas is still insufficient, and key regions lack critical data. Synthesizing evidence from polar and coastal regions, this study predicts that if warming does not exceed 2 ℃, the positions of community cores in China's coastal plankton communities may shift, but the risk of substantial structural change remains low.
- plankton,
- ocean warming,
- biogeographic distribution,
- communities,
- phenology,
- climate change,
- oceanography

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References(131)

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