| Citation: | Wu Chuanchuan, Meng Xuyang, Liu Pin, Xin Ruyue, Cheng Jiawei, 2026. Application of Machine Learning Models Based on Magmatic Zircon Trace Elements for Discriminating the Metallogenic Potential of Porphyry Copper Deposits. Earth Science, 51(9): 3530-3546. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.084 |
To address the limitations of traditional binary discrimination diagrams, which arise from low dimensionality and difficulty in revealing nonlinear metallogenic mechanisms when processing zircon trace element data, this study introduces machine learning methods to enhance the accuracy and objectivity of porphyry copper mineralization potential assessment. Based on global zircon trace element data from porphyry deposits, we systematically compared the classification performance of five models-XGBoost, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, and Neural Network- and interpreted the model decision-making mechanisms using the SHAP explainable framework. The results show that XGBoost achieves the highest classification accuracy (86.85%), followed by Random Forest (83.84%) and Logistic Regression (83.84%), while Support Vector Machine (78.90%) and Multilayer Perceptron (69.86%) exhibit relatively lower performance. SHAP analysis identifies EuN/EuN*, 10 000(EuN/EuN*)/Y, Ti, Y, △FMQ, and Gd/Dy as key indicators for discriminating mineralization potential. The models constructed in this study, such as XGBoost and Random Forest, can effectively identify porphyry copper mineralization potential and screen critical exploration indicators, offering not only new insights into intelligent mineral exploration but also important references for model selection and optimization in practical applications.
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