西宁—海东都市圈不同土地利用情景下生态系统服务模拟：基于GMOP-PLUSInVEST模型

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2025.114

西宁—海东都市圈不同土地利用情景下生态系统服务模拟：基于GMOP-PLUSInVEST模型

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.114

宣炳旭^1,2,
魏晓燕³,
毛旭锋^1,2, ,,
姚乃鑫⁴,
金鑫^1,2,
张乐乐^1,2,
杜凯^1,2,
金彦香^1,2

1. 青藏高原自然地理与生态保育教育部重点实验室;青海省自然地理与环境过程重点实验室, 西宁, 810000;
2. 青海师范大学地理科学学院, 西宁, 810000;
3. 青海师范大学经济管理学院, 西宁, 810000;
4. 青海林业监理中心有限公司, 西宁, 810000

基金项目:

青海省科技厅自然科学基金（ 2024-ZJ-910）；国家自然科学基金（ 42201174）。

详细信息

作者简介:
宣炳旭,男,硕士研究生,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:xuanbingxuhebei@163.com，ORCID： https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0085-514X

通讯作者:
毛旭锋,男,教授,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:maoxufeng@yeah.net

中图分类号: F299.22;X321
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2025-04-17
- 网络出版日期: 2025-07-01

Research on Ecosystem Services in the Xining-Haidong Metropolitan Area Under Different Land Use Scenarios: Based on the GMOP-PLUS-InVEST Model

Xuan Bingxu^1,2,
Wei Xiaoyan³,
Mao Xufeng^{1,2
, ,},
Yao Naixin⁴,
Jin Xin^1,2,
Zhang Lele^1,2,
Du Kai^1,2,
Jin Yanxiang^1,2

1. Key Laboratory of Natural Geography and Ecological Conservation, Education Department;
2. Provincial Key Laboratory of Natural Geography and Environmental Processes, Xining, 810000;
3. Geography Department, Qinghai Normal University, Xining, 810000;
4. Economic Management College, Qinghai Normal University, Xining, 810000;

摘要

摘要: 生态系统服务是维系可持续发展的基础。生态系统服务的可持续性依赖于土地利用模式的优化。本研究以青藏高原东北缘的西宁-海东都市圈为研究对象，针对其发展空间稀缺性和三生空间竞争性的冲突问题，采用多目标优化和土地利用模拟模型模拟的方法，结合InVEST模型评估了2010-2020年土地利用变化与生态系统服务特征，模拟了2040年自然发展，经济发展，生态保护三种发展模式下生态系统服务变化特征。研究发现：（1） 2010-2020年，研究区建设用地扩张先快后慢，林地和草地面积缩减导致生境质量下降0.01，碳储量减少192,492.28吨，但平均产水量增加0.23毫米。南北山脉因人类活动干扰较少，成为高生境质量、高碳汇和低产水量的生态屏障。（2）在ND和ED情景下，产水量上升，生境质量大幅下降，无法支撑都市圈的可持续发展；而EC情景通过平衡经济与生态保护，使生境质量仅小幅下降，碳储量增加，且产水量增幅最小，体现了生态保护与发展的协调性。（ 3）多目标优化与空间模拟结合的量化决策方法，可为高原都市圈土地利用结构优化提供量化决策工具。研究发现，经济与生态协调发展模式能够有效平衡城市扩张与生态保护，为高原型都市圈可持续发展提供重要科学依据。
- 生态系统服务 /
- 多目标优化模型 /
- 土地利用情景模拟 /
- 高原都市圈
Abstract: Ecosystem services are the foundation for sustaining development. The sustainability of ecosystem services is closely tied to the optimization of land use patterns. This study focuses on the Xining-Haidong metropolitan area on the northeastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, to address challenges posed by limited development space and spatial conflicts among production, living, and ecological functions. By integrating multiobjective optimization models, land use simulation frameworks, and the InVEST model, we assessed the characteristics of land use changes and ecosystem services from 2010 to 2020, and simulated the characteristics of ecosystem service changes under three development scenarios (natural development, economic development, and ecological conservation) for 2040. Key findings include: (1) From 2010 to 2020, the expansion of construction land in the study area was initially rapid and then slowed down; reductions in forest and grassland areas led to a decline of 0.01 in habitat quality and a decrease of 192,492.28 tons in carbon storage, while average water yield increased by 0.23 mm. The north-south mountain ranges, less disturbed by human activities, served as ecological barriers with high habitat quality, high carbon sequestration, and low water yield. (2) Under the ND and ED scenarios, water yield increased significantly, but habitat quality declined sharply, rendering these scenarios unsustainable for the metropolitan area. Conversely, the EC scenario achieved a balance between economy and ecology, leading to only a slight decrease in habitat quality, an increase in carbon storage, and the smallest increase in water yield, demonstrating the harmony between ecological protection and development. (3) A quantitative decision-making method combining multi-objective optimization and spatial simulation can provide a quantified decision-making tool for optimizing land use structures in plateau metropolitan areas. The findings indicate that a coordinated development model prioritizing both economic and ecological objectives can effectively reconcile urban expansion with ecological conservation, offering critical scientific support for the sustainable development of plateau-type metropolitan regions.
- Ecosystem Services /
- Multi-objective Optimization Model /
- Land Use Scenario Simulation /
- Plateau Metropolitan Area

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西宁—海东都市圈不同土地利用情景下生态系统服务模拟：基于GMOP-PLUSInVEST模型

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.114

作者简介:
宣炳旭,男,硕士研究生,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:xuanbingxuhebei@163.com，ORCID： https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0085-514X

通讯作者:
毛旭锋,男,教授,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:maoxufeng@yeah.net

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Research on Ecosystem Services in the Xining-Haidong Metropolitan Area Under Different Land Use Scenarios: Based on the GMOP-PLUS-InVEST Model

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西宁—海东都市圈不同土地利用情景下生态系统服务模拟：基于GMOP-PLUSInVEST模型

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.114

作者简介: 宣炳旭,男,硕士研究生,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:xuanbingxuhebei@163.com，ORCID： https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0085-514X

通讯作者: 毛旭锋,男,教授,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:maoxufeng@yeah.net

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出版历程

Research on Ecosystem Services in the Xining-Haidong Metropolitan Area Under Different Land Use Scenarios: Based on the GMOP-PLUS-InVEST Model

计量

出版历程

目录

作者简介:
宣炳旭,男,硕士研究生,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:xuanbingxuhebei@163.com，ORCID： https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0085-514X

通讯作者:
毛旭锋,男,教授,从事湿地生态过程研究.E-mail:maoxufeng@yeah.net