北美页岩油气革命及启示——Bakken页岩油气藏大数据实例分析

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2026.161

北美页岩油气革命及启示——Bakken页岩油气藏大数据实例分析

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.161

于荣泽^1,2,3,
邹才能^1,2,3, ,,
赵群^1,2,3,
张晓伟^1,2,3,
陈艳鹏^1,2,3,
董大忠^1,2,3,
赵素平^1,2,3,
孙钦平^1,2,3,
王欣⁴

1. 中国石油勘探开发研究院, 北京 100083;
2. 国家能源页岩气研发(实验）中心, 河北廊坊 065007;
3. 中国石油天然气集团有限公司煤岩气重点实验室, 河北廊坊 065007;
4. 中国石油天然气股份有限公司西南油气田分公司油气工艺研究院, 四川成都 610017

基金项目:

中国石油天然气股份有限公司重大科技专项“页岩油气开发机理与体积开发技术研究”(编号:2023ZZ08)。

详细信息

作者简介:
于荣泽(1983-),高级工程师,博士,主要从事非常规油气开发及数智平台建设相关研究工作。E-mail:yurongze2002@163.com,ORCID:0009-0005-9654-7266

通讯作者:
邹才能(1963-),中国科学院院士,博士,主要从事常规-非常规油气地质学理论与勘探、新能源技术、能源战略、碳中和等领域的研究工作。E-mail:zcn@petrochina.com.cn,ORCID:0000-0001-5912-1729

中图分类号: F426.22;F471.2
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- 文章访问数: 37
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2026-01-20
- 网络出版日期: 2026-06-29

Shale Revolution in North America and Its Implications: A Data-Drive Analysis of the Bakken Shale Play

Yu Rongze^1,2,3,
Zou Caineng^{1,2,3
, ,},
Zhao Qun^1,2,3,
Zhang Xiaowei^1,2,3,
Chen Yanpeng^1,2,3,
Dong Dazhong^1,2,3,
Zhao Suping^1,2,3,
Sun Qinping^1,2,3,
Wang Xin⁴

1. PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development, Beijing 100083, China;
2. National Energy Shale Gas R&D (Experiment) Center, Langfang, Hebei 065007, China;
3. CNPC Key Laboratory of Coal-Rock Gas, Langfang 065007, Hebei China;
4. Oil and Gas Technology Research Institute, Southwest Oil & Gas Field Company, PetroChina, Chengdu 610017, China

摘要

摘要: 依托近2.6万口水平井全生命周期大数据，采用数理统计、随机森林与Pareto多目标优化方法，揭示了Bakken页岩油气藏工程技术与开发效益的协同演化规律。研究表明，通过工程参数的持续迭代，水平段长由2150m延伸至5217m，加砂强度由0.29t/m提升至1.54t/m，钻井周期压缩至40d，驱动单井EUR倍增至10.6×10⁴t，同时单位油当量钻压成本由89美元/t降至45美元/t，形成了显著的“产量上升、成本下降”效益剪刀差。基于大数据规律，首次建立了“垂深—水垂比”与“垂深—水平段长—加砂强度”三维协同优化图版，量化了深层高脆性页岩油开发的参数适配区间。研究为我国陆相页岩油破解开发瓶颈、实现从“经验驱动”向“数智驱动”转型提供了可量化的技术范式。
- 页岩油气 /
- Bakken /
- 工程技术指标 /
- EUR /
- 成本效益 /
- 大数据分析 /
- 启示
Abstract: Based on full-lifecycle big data from nearly 26,000 horizontal wells, and using mathematical statistics, random forest, and Pareto multi-objective optimization, this study reveals the synergistic evolution between engineering technologies and development performance in the Bakken shale play. Continuous iteration of engineering parameters extended the lateral length from 2,150 m to 5,217 m, increased proppant intensity from 0.29 t/m to 1.54 t/m, and reduced the drilling cycle to 40 d. As a result, the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) per well doubled to 10.6×10⁴t, while the drilling and fracturing cost per unit oil equivalent dropped from 89 USD/t to 45 USD/t, creating a significant “rising production, falling cost” beneficial scissors gap. Based on big-data patterns, we establish for the first time a “true vertical depth vs. water-to-vertical ratio” chart and a “true vertical depth vs. lateral length vs. proppant intensity” three-dimensional collaborative optimization chart, quantifying parameter adaptation intervals for deep, high-brittleness shale oil development. This study provides a quantifiable technical paradigm for China’s continental shale oil to overcome development bottlenecks and transition from an experience-driven to a digital intelligence-driven approach.
- Shale oil and gas /
- Bakken /
- Engineering technical parameters /
- EUR(Estimated Ultimate Recovery) /
- Cost efficiency /
- Big?data analysis /
- Implications

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参考文献(47)

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北美页岩油气革命及启示——Bakken页岩油气藏大数据实例分析

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.161

作者简介:
于荣泽(1983-),高级工程师,博士,主要从事非常规油气开发及数智平台建设相关研究工作。E-mail:yurongze2002@163.com,ORCID:0009-0005-9654-7266

通讯作者:
邹才能(1963-),中国科学院院士,博士,主要从事常规-非常规油气地质学理论与勘探、新能源技术、能源战略、碳中和等领域的研究工作。E-mail:zcn@petrochina.com.cn,ORCID:0000-0001-5912-1729

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Shale Revolution in North America and Its Implications: A Data-Drive Analysis of the Bakken Shale Play

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留言板

北美页岩油气革命及启示——Bakken页岩油气藏大数据实例分析

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.161

作者简介: 于荣泽(1983-),高级工程师,博士,主要从事非常规油气开发及数智平台建设相关研究工作。E-mail:yurongze2002@163.com,ORCID:0009-0005-9654-7266

通讯作者: 邹才能(1963-),中国科学院院士,博士,主要从事常规-非常规油气地质学理论与勘探、新能源技术、能源战略、碳中和等领域的研究工作。E-mail:zcn@petrochina.com.cn,ORCID:0000-0001-5912-1729

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出版历程

Shale Revolution in North America and Its Implications: A Data-Drive Analysis of the Bakken Shale Play

计量

出版历程

目录

作者简介:
于荣泽(1983-),高级工程师,博士,主要从事非常规油气开发及数智平台建设相关研究工作。E-mail:yurongze2002@163.com,ORCID:0009-0005-9654-7266

通讯作者:
邹才能(1963-),中国科学院院士,博士,主要从事常规-非常规油气地质学理论与勘探、新能源技术、能源战略、碳中和等领域的研究工作。E-mail:zcn@petrochina.com.cn,ORCID:0000-0001-5912-1729