雄安新区浅层地下水位上升诱发的潜在地质安全风险识别与评估

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2026.222

雄安新区浅层地下水位上升诱发的潜在地质安全风险识别与评估

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.222

韩博^1,2,3,
马震^1,2,3,
刘宏伟^1,2,3,
郭旭^1,2,3, ,,
高伊航^1,2,3,
白耀楠^1,2,3,
郭云涛⁴,
苗晋杰^1,2,3,
李状^1,2,3

1. 中国地质调查局天津地质调查中心(华北地质科技创新中心), 天津 300170;
2. 中国地质调查局雄安城市地质研究中心, 天津 300170;
3. 天津市海岸带地质过程与环境安全重点实验室, 天津 300170;
4. 中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院, 北京 100083

基金项目:

中国地质调查局地质调查项目“京津冀协同发展区国土空间规划实施监测评价（No.DD202607203002）”和国家科技计划雄安科技创新专项项目（No.2024XAGG0019）

详细信息

作者简介:
韩博(1984-),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水工环、城市地质与国土空间综合研究等工作。E-mail:hanbo1984@126.com,ORCID:0000-0003-2318-7632

通讯作者:
郭旭(1983-),正高级工程师,主要从事水工环地质调查与科学研究工作.E-mail:liuhenry022@163.com

中图分类号: P642
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2026-03-18
- 网络出版日期: 2026-08-25

Identification and Assessment of Geological Safety Risks Induced by Shallow Groundwater Level Rise in Xiong’an New Area

Han Bo^1,2,3,
Ma Zhen^1,2,3,
Liu Hongwei^1,2,3,
Guo Xu^{1,2,3
, ,},
Gao Yihang^1,2,3,
Bai Yaonan^1,2,3,
Guo Yuntao⁴,
Miao Jinjie^1,2,3,
Li Zhuang^1,2,3

1. Tianjin Center, China Geological Survey (North China Center of Geoscience Innovation), Tianjin 300170, China;
2. Xiong'an Urban Geological Research Center, China Geological Survey, Tianjin 300170, China;
3. Tianjin Key Laboratory of Coast Geological Processes and Environmental Safety, Tianjin 300170, China;
4. School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China

摘要

摘要: 为应对雄安新区浅层地下水位上升诱发的地质安全隐患，保障新区高标准建设与长期稳定运行，基于地质调查与地下水位长期监测数据，采用层次分析法（AHP）与加权平均综合指数法，耦合GIS空间分析技术，系统识别浅层地下水位上升诱发的各类潜在地质安全风险，构建涵盖地形地貌、地下水位、岩土体性质、地质环境与人类工程活动等多层次多维度评估指标体系，开展地质安全风险量化评估与分区.研究表明，1）研究区浅层地下水位上升诱发的潜在地质安全风险主要有土体软化与地基承载力下降、砂土液化、结构上浮与渗漏、基坑突涌、地面回弹与地裂缝活化等；2）风险呈“规划建设区内部高、规划建设区外围低”的空间分布特征，高风险区占总面积的0.69%，较高风险区占5.21%，中风险区占19.76%，低风险区占74.34%；3）不同风险等级区域的主控因素差异显著，高风险区主要受地下水位埋深、地面高程和人类工程活动影响，较高-中风险区主要受地下水位埋深、地下水位上升速率、岩土体性质及人类工程活动共同控制，低风险区受地下水位影响较弱.该研究成果为雄安新区高标准高质量建设、地质安全防控及地下空间科学开发提供了重要技术支撑。
- 雄安新区 /
- 浅层地下水位上升 /
- 地质安全风险 /
- 风险识别 /
- 风险评估
Abstract: To address the geological safety hazards induced by the rising shallow groundwater level in the Xiong’an New Area and ensure the high-standard construction and long-term stable operation of the new area, this study systematically identifies various potential geological safety risks caused by the rise of shallow groundwater level based on geological survey data and long-term monitoring data of groundwater level. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and weighted average comprehensive index method are adopted, coupled with GIS spatial analysis technology. A multi-level and multi-dimensional evaluation index system covering topography and geomorphology, groundwater level, geotechnical properties, geological environment and human engineering activities is constructed, and quantitative assessment and zoning of geological safety risks are carried out. The results show that: (1) The potential geological safety risks induced by the rising shallow groundwater level in the study area mainly include soil softening and reduction of foundation bearing capacity, sand liquefaction, structural uplift and seepage, gushing in foundation pits, ground rebound and ground fissure reactivation; (2) The risks present a spatial distribution characteristic of “high risk in Baiyangdian Lake area and its surrounding regions, relatively high to medium risk in the ‘one main and five auxiliary’ construction areas, and low risk in peripheral farmland and ecological protection areas”. The high-risk area accounts for 0.69% of the total area, the relatively high-risk area 5.21%, the medium-risk area 19.76%, and the low-risk area 74.34%; (3) The dominant controlling factors vary significantly in regions with different risk levels. The high-risk areas are mainly affected by groundwater depth, ground elevation and human engineering activities; the relatively high to medium-risk areas are jointly controlled by groundwater depth, rising rate of groundwater level, geotechnical properties and human engineering activities; while the low-risk areas are weakly affected by groundwater level and human engineering activities. The research results provide important technical support for the high-standard and high-quality construction, geological safety prevention and control, and scientific development of underground space in the Xiong’an New Area.
- Xiong'an New Area /
- shallow groundwater level rise /
- geological safety risk /
- risk identification /
- risk assessment

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雄安新区浅层地下水位上升诱发的潜在地质安全风险识别与评估

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.222

作者简介:
韩博(1984-),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水工环、城市地质与国土空间综合研究等工作。E-mail:hanbo1984@126.com,ORCID:0000-0003-2318-7632

通讯作者:
郭旭(1983-),正高级工程师,主要从事水工环地质调查与科学研究工作.E-mail:liuhenry022@163.com

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Identification and Assessment of Geological Safety Risks Induced by Shallow Groundwater Level Rise in Xiong’an New Area

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留言板

雄安新区浅层地下水位上升诱发的潜在地质安全风险识别与评估

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2026.222

作者简介: 韩博(1984-),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水工环、城市地质与国土空间综合研究等工作。E-mail:hanbo1984@126.com,ORCID:0000-0003-2318-7632

通讯作者: 郭旭(1983-),正高级工程师,主要从事水工环地质调查与科学研究工作.E-mail:liuhenry022@163.com

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出版历程

Identification and Assessment of Geological Safety Risks Induced by Shallow Groundwater Level Rise in Xiong’an New Area

计量

出版历程

目录

作者简介:
韩博(1984-),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水工环、城市地质与国土空间综合研究等工作。E-mail:hanbo1984@126.com,ORCID:0000-0003-2318-7632

通讯作者:
郭旭(1983-),正高级工程师,主要从事水工环地质调查与科学研究工作.E-mail:liuhenry022@163.com