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    深部矿产三维智能预测理论、方法与挑战

    毛先成 段新明 邓浩 陈进 刘占坤 黄继先

    毛先成, 段新明, 邓浩, 陈进, 刘占坤, 黄继先, 2026. 深部矿产三维智能预测理论、方法与挑战. 地球科学, 51(3): 793-815. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.227
    引用本文: 毛先成, 段新明, 邓浩, 陈进, 刘占坤, 黄继先, 2026. 深部矿产三维智能预测理论、方法与挑战. 地球科学, 51(3): 793-815. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.227
    Mao Xiancheng, Duan Xinming, Deng Hao, Chen Jin, Liu Zhankun, Huang Jixian, 2026. Intelligent 3D Prediction of Deep Mineral Resources: Theory, Methods, and Challenges. Earth Science, 51(3): 793-815. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.227
    Citation: Mao Xiancheng, Duan Xinming, Deng Hao, Chen Jin, Liu Zhankun, Huang Jixian, 2026. Intelligent 3D Prediction of Deep Mineral Resources: Theory, Methods, and Challenges. Earth Science, 51(3): 793-815. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.227

    深部矿产三维智能预测理论、方法与挑战

    doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2025.227
    基金项目: 

    国家自然科学基金项目 42030809

    国家自然科学基金项目 42472363

    国家自然科学基金项目 42272344

    国家自然科学基金项目 41972309

    国家科技重大专项课题 2024ZD1001904

    湖南省科技创新计划项目 2021RC4055

    详细信息
      作者简介:

      毛先成(1963—),男,博士,教授,主要从事三维成矿预测与地学信息技术等方面的研究及教学工作. ORCID:0000-0001-5624-351X. E-mail:mxc@csu.edu.cn

      通讯作者:

      邓浩,ORCID:0000-0001-9417-6629. E-mail:haodeng@csu.edu.cn

    • 中图分类号: P628

    Intelligent 3D Prediction of Deep Mineral Resources: Theory, Methods, and Challenges

    • 摘要:

      矿产资源是国家经济安全与工业化发展的关键保障.随着浅部资源的日益枯竭,在矿山深部寻找可接替资源已成为保障资源安全的必然选择.然而,深部找矿面临位置深、直接信息少、间接信息弱等问题,亟须突破矿床深部结构不清、深部控矿规律隐蔽、深部矿体空间定位难度大等关键技术难题,传统矿产资源定量预测方法难以满足深部矿体三维空间精准定位需求.为此,本文系统阐述了深部矿产三维智能预测理论与方法及其挑战.该理论与方法以成矿系统和数据科学理论为指导,初步突破了“矿床深部三维结构重建的地质‒地球物理‒地球化学约束”、“矿床深部三维结构对矿化空间定位的控制机制”两大关键科学问题,形成了“地质解析‒精细建模‒三维分析‒智能预测”方法框架,建立了以矿床深部结构三维精细重建、深部结构几何‒物质分析、深部矿体三维定位智能预测为核心的理论方法与技术体系.其核心技术包括:(1)基于多源异构数据同化与贝叶斯推断的矿床深部三维结构精细重建;(2)融合多级构造样式与成矿过程模拟的三维结构几何‒物质成矿信息智能提取;(3)应用深度神经网络、域自适应及多模态学习等人工智能技术的深部矿体三维智能定位预测.这一理论方法初步实现了深部结构重建的自动化、控矿规律表征的定量化与矿体定位预测的智能化,并在我国胶东、金川等重要矿集区/矿区的深部找矿实践中取得显著成效.本文最后从深部三维结构精细建模多源数据同化、空间结构‒成矿物质耦合成矿信息表征、大语言模型驱动深部矿体三维定位预测等视角探讨了深部矿产三维智能预测的未来挑战与发展方向,以期进一步促进深部找矿预测的深度智能化发展.

       

    • 图  1  矿床深部三维结构贝叶斯数据同化精细重建方法

      Fig.  1.  Methods for refined reconstruction of deep 3D ore deposit structures using Bayesian data assimilation

      图  2  矿床深部三维结构几何‒物质分析及成矿信息提取方法与技术

      Fig.  2.  Methods and techniques for 3D geometric and material analyzes of deep ore deposit structures and for extraction of mineralization information

      图  3  矿化空间定位规律深度学习模型与深部资源三维预测方法

      Fig.  3.  Deep learning models for spatial mineralization patterns recognition and 3D prediction methods for deep mineral resources

      图  4  山东焦家金矿带(a)和甘肃金川铜镍硫化物矿床(b)深部三维预测结果与深部找矿立体靶区图(据毛先成等,2024修改)

      Fig.  4.  3D prediction results of deep mineralization and identified stereoscopic deep-prospecting targets for the Jiaojia gold belt in Shandong (a), and the Jinchuan Ni-Cu sulfide deposit (b) (modified after Mao et al., 2024).

      表  1  不同矿床类型中控矿地质因素与指标集

      Table  1.   Ore-forming geological factors and indicator sets for different ore deposit types

      矿床类型 地质因素变量 指标 意义
      胶西北热液型金矿床 矿化分布 Au品位、金属量 矿化强度、成矿规模
      断层距离控矿因素 距离 构造对目标体元影响强度
      起伏程度控矿因素 一级起伏、二级起伏 不同尺度下应力对构造形态的影响,指示成矿空间发育程度
      产状控矿因素 坡度 构造形态对流体运移的控制
      陡缓变换控矿因素 陡缓转换 应力突变对流体运移影响
      甘肃金川岩浆铜镍硫化物矿床 矿化分布 Cu、Ni品位、金属量 矿化强度、成矿规模
      岩浆运移通道控矿因素 中心轴距离 岩浆通量对硫化物熔体中成矿元素富集的影响
      顶底板相对距离控矿因素 距离比值 控制硫化物熔体重力渗流范围
      底板形态控矿因素 起伏趋势 控制硫化物熔体的圈闭聚集
      断层距离控矿因素 构造距离 构造对含矿岩浆运移的影响
      下载: 导出CSV
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    • 收稿日期:  2025-10-13
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